Econometric modeling of the development of helicopter industry enterprises taking into account the innovation factor

UDC 330.43
Publication date: 01.06.2020
International Journal of Professional Science №6-2020

Econometric modeling of the development of helicopter industry enterprises taking into account the innovation factor

Larin Sergey Nikolaevich
Loginova Daria Sergeevna

1. leading researcher, candidate of technical sciences,
Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS, Moscow, Russia
2. master, RUDN University, Moscow, Russia
Review article
Abstract: Over the past decade, the Russian helicopter industry, which has been characterized by steady growth, has been confronted with difficulties caused by unstable political situation, fierce competition in world markets, rapid development and introduction of innovative technologies in this sector of the Russian economy. In order to maintain their position in the global market and increase the competitiveness of their products, Russian companies must adapt production to the changing demand for helicopters and pay increased attention to supporting the technological support of production with the latest materials, equipment and components of domestic production. The purpose of this study is to analyze the current state of the enterprises of the domestic helicopter industry on the example of the holding "Helicopters of Russia". To achieve this, the econometric package EViews10 was used and linear and nonlinear models were built, allowing to evaluate the existing and promising demand for Russian helicopters. As a result of the analysis of the models, factors that have a significant impact on the production of Russian helicopters were identified.
Keywords: Russian economy, helicopter industry, Russian Helicopters holding, helicopter demand, modeling, tools, EViews10.

Introduction

In order to preserve competitive ability at both world and home markets national enterprises, referred to the helicopter industry, should concentrate its efforts on the hold of such market niches, where it already have got a certain share, as well as on its expansion due to the improvement of the quality of the manufactured production. In the short term is expected the growth of the competition at both global and home markets due to the quick growth of the quantity and quality of offered products /services, technologic innovations, the number of mergers and takeovers of enterprises under the influence of permanently changing market conditions.

Since the helicopter industry has been formed as a branch, considerable changes were taking place in the organization of its production. So, for example, the helicopter industry in USSR has been building medium and heavy machines (mainly for the military sector). Since 2010 there is such a trend in Russia as the transition to the manufacturing of light helicopters (for the civil aviation). Anyway, due to the experience, accumulated for a long time just in the medium and heavy segment, Russian helicopter building companies are world leaders. Today Russian enterprises manufacture such unique samples as: multi-purpose all-weather combat helicopter Ка-52 Аlligator; Ми-35М – combat helicopter, which can also be used for civil purposes; radar surveillance helicopter, ship-based helicopter Ка-31 and many others. Only the Russian Ми-26 remains the only sample, able to lift cargos, weighing up to 20 tons [9].

It should be highlighted that both the technologic and innovative components play a determining role in the development of the helicopter industry in Russia. Annually the spectrum of manufactured samples is being modernized and the manufacturing of absolutely new ones is being expanded. For example, in 2023 is expected the launch of the industrial production of the future commercial helicopter ПКВ, аnd since 2024 will be started first sales of unscrewed aerial vehicles БАС-500-750.

Russian companies release 35% of the world park of combat helicopters and about 17% of the world park of ultra-heavy helicopters, as well as 56% of the world park of medium helicopters [9], in the light helicopter industry the Russian production is less spread. The competitive ability of the helicopter industry of the RF requires the model range correction [1].

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